Greetings and welcome!
We had a pretty nice day Wednesday. It was sunny and we had a high of 39. There was some melting, mostly on treated roads. We only got into the low 30s Thursday.
Tonight the models are showing some interesting stuff. The European is snowing a significant snow for about 1-15. That is showing the possibility of 9-12″. The GFS is not seeing that just yet.
What the GFS is showing for the 15th is a big change in patterns. It is showing a big push of Arctic air that goes so deep into the US that the rain/snow line would literally be in Florida if there were a storm. The Arctic is opening up and a big chill is headed our way. There are reinforcing shots of bitter cold behind it.
The next question is do we believe it. The GFS has been changing a lot in the past few days. I am inclined to believe it if it lasts a couple of more model runs. It isn’t a big shock to get cold weather in January, and especially in a LaNina year. I have kind of been expecting it. I just hope that is snows first.
In the meantime we have a week of pretty nice weather ahead. I am expecting highs around 30 and lows in the upper teens or low 20s.
Right now I have 2-4″ of fairly compact snow in the yard. It might be enough for a ride around the yard but that its about it.
Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!