Saturday Feb 19th, 2011

Greetings and welcome!

5:30pm

Here are the latest guesses..

GFS- We are on the line between 6-9 and 9-12

NAM- 9-12+ ( Buy it Now!)

HPC- 3-6

NWS- 5-8

CH 2 4-8

Ch11 6-10

Here we are in a winter weather advisory, a mile south they are in a winter storm warning. They have to draw the line somewhere.

Early

Not a sure thing?

The forecasts and models still have a variety of ideas on how the storm will hit. The general trend is to narrow the precipitation field and push the heaviest snow between Green Bay and the state line, with a mix likely south of about Sheboygan.

NWS- 6-10″, 4-6 Sunday and 2-4 Sunday night.

HPC- On the line between 3-6 and 6-9

NAM-6-9 or 9-12

GFS-1-3 or 3-6

Channel 2- 4.5″

Channel 11- 0.5″ (!)

I am not sold that we are going to get skunked or end up on the low end of it, but I have to acknowledge the possibility. So do I put the snow plow on today and get snowmobile gas or not? Inquiring minds want to know!

RJB