Thursday February 17th, 2011

Greetings and welcome!

It was a foggy drizzly day today and the temps held in the lower 40s.

Fog is a snow killer. With so much moisture in the atmosphere the heat transfer from the warm air to the cold snow is very effective. Today did not go well.

My travels took me to Wausaukee and Crivitz today. On the way to Wausaukee it looked like the trails along Perch Lake Rd were holding a little base in the woods but not the fields. Along 141, and especially as I went south toward Crivitz, the fields were getting bare with occasional splotches of snow.

Closer to home we still have snow cover in most areas, but sunny spots are now muddy. The trails took a beating here too and are not pretty.

Riding right now is out. Some trails are still open, but they are not rideable. The warm week has broken our winter. Yesterday’s sunny day that went into the low 50s really hurt us. There were mini rivers of melt water and big puddles, as well as plenty of mud in sunny spots.

Now it is expected to get cold again. Tonight will go into the mid or upper 20 and start the freeze. Tomorrow is expected to be very windy and in the low 30s for a high. Saturday also holds the promise of upper 20s and low 30s.

The storm for Sunday and Monday is one of our chances to turn the melt around. Right now it looks promising as a 4-8 or 6-12 storm. The storm is just coming into the reach of the NAM model, and it is in reasonable agreement with the GFS as far as us getting a significant snow.

Behind that the GFS is showing a fairly cool week and another storm, also snow, for late next week.

If it all works out we will end up taking this weekend off and come back next weekend for another shot at riding.

I will be back tomorrow with the latest weather update and the events for the weekend.

Have a good night and thank you for visiting!