The midnight versions of the GFS and NAM models have the storm pushing south of ideal. The GFS version would put us in the 3-6 or 4-8 range, and NAM would still be 8+. The HPC is sticking to their guns and showing the low pressure area passing over south central IL and IN, leaving us watching from the cheap seats.
The 6am run of the NAM model is still showing the storm hitting us with 6+. It is a little south of perfect, but close enough to definitely impact the area.