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Oct 18

Saturday October 18th, 2014

Greetings and welcome!

The second snow of the year happened last night. The radar looked like it was centered on northern Forest Co and hitting a little of eastern Vilas and Oneida Cos. It probably didn’t amount to much, but it was snow.

The weather has been interesting this week. We had a very strong storm came through the region with heavy rain, then it went east, and backed up and kept the rain coming off of Lake Michigan and Superior. Yesterday it set up where an area of the UP including Escanaba and Munising just got pounded with wave after wave of heavy rain.

I tend to look at the weather through the lens of what if this were late December or mid-January? Yowza, this week would have been huge. My rain gauges have over 3″ in them for the week. The first inch or two probably would have rain or a mix, but the other inch and a half plus would end up as a foot and a half of snow, or more. The storm path would have been pretty favorable, and the extra rain when the storm backed up would have all been snow.

So it is time for my winter guess and weather outlook.

The professional outlook for this winter is for a 60-65% chance of an El Nino. There is not a real strong signal indicating that it will be a bad one. Most models are showing a prediction of a mild El Nino- a lot like we have been having this summer and fall.


We maintain this pattern of below normal temperatures and above normal precip, it will be a heck of a winter. There is also a very real possibility of a good old fashioned El Nino and a rough winter. I have been watching this all with great interest over the last few months and I don’t have a straight answer. My gut says be ready for a repeat of last winter, hopefully with a little less sub-zero stuff. At that point I will flip the odds and say 60% chance of another great winter, 40% chance of an El Nino that will be less snowmobile friendly. I feel good about it, but there is that nagging possibility.

Work work work. It has been a little really overwhelming this fall, so I haven’t been around for pre-season events and stuff like this weekend’s Snowmobile USA show. I am totally overwhelmed right now, but I will be back around when it really counts.

I don’t have time to talk about it tonight, but you should be aware of a new registration system in WI this year. It is called Cap-Step. A long story short, it is a two step registration/trail pass system that promotes club membership and brings them more money.  It looks like a good thing all around. I will bring you more info shortly.

It is time for me to wrap it up. Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!





Oct 04

Saturday 10/4/14

Greetings and welcome!

The snow is real. A lot of northern Wi saw at least a little mix, and some areas saw it add up on cars. A FB friend from Lac Du Flambeau had about an inch and a half on the car and made the first snowball of the year. I haven’t seen any here yet, but the radar shows that there is a chance in a little while.

Anyway, the first snow of the season was last night and this morning.


Oct 03

Friday 10/3/14

Greetings and welcome!

It has been a long time. I will be back around soon with a lot to talk about, but for right now I have to settle for a quick update with the big news. The first snow of the year is showing up on radar. It looks like from Vilas Co and west it is snowing pretty good. The snow on the radar extends as far east as about Fence or Armstrong Creek.

This is just on radar and I don’t have any ground truth to tell us if it is snow, a mix, or what, but the radar is showing all snow.

According to the NWS we could see a mix or a little snow here overnight.


Apr 04

Friday April 4th 2014-Updated 7pm

Greetings and welcome!


Encore Encore!

Ok so we are NOT done. My bad.

Jeff says that there is still base up north, and that the trails are still open. I am not sure about them, but I have 6″ of heavy snow here in Silver Cliff @ Hwy C &  F. I would expect that they had a little less freezing rain and  a little more snow, so it would surprise me if they didn’t have 040414ga couple of more inches. It would not be out of the question to throw one on a trailer tomorrow and heading up toward Hwy 8. Riding Saturday and 60 next Wednesday, and rafting the next Saturday. Wow.  That is an interesting  week.

Here are some pictures from about 6:30. The snow is about done now, with another inch possible before it clears out.

Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!


040414h 040414i 040414j

4-4-14 Morning Update-

I want to thank you all for a great snowmobiling season. You made it a great time at the Rapids on weekends, and your generosity with donations was wonderful. I can’t thank you all enough.

It was the season of all seasons for trail conditions. If it had been a little warmer it would have been a lot better for people to enjoy the trails that belonged on a magazine cover, but when we did brave the cold we were well rewarded.

Unfortunately the fat lady has sang, and it is time to store them away for another summer.

I have taken a few days off from blogging, but it looks like I am back at it, this time at my summer home over at Northern Destinations. Here is a link to the other page. http://northerndestinations.com/scindex

Thank you all again for a fantastic snowmobiling season, for your good times, and for your support and generosity.

Have a good summer and thank you for visiting!


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