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Oct 31

10-31-2014 Snow & Cold!

Greetings and welcome!

We have passed a couple of more milestones on our way to the snowmobiling season. A big cold front came through Thursday night and brought a touch of winter to the region.

Last night I checked outside when the radar said that it was snowing, but I was disappointed. This morning when I went out to start the car at 6:45am there were a few flakes on the roof, and a few ice spots from either a sprinkle or some melted snowflakes.

On the way to work in Wausaukee I spotted a few patches with a little white about 2 miles east of C & A. It wasn’t much, just a few spots in the long grass around trees.

Not to be forgotten was the ice cold wind roaring out of the north. The cold front brought winds over 20 that gusted over 40 by my guess. This morning it was 25 in Wabeno, and only 3 degrees warmer here in Silver Cliff. Between that and the wind, the coming winter was starting to feel pretty real.

Later in the morning there were a couple of pretty good wind driven snow squalls in Wausaukee. It did not add up to anything, but it was our first official snow.

That cold north wind was not lost on the lake effect snow areas of the UP. If the lake effect snows were getting blown inland far enough to hit Wausaukee, the UP and Vilas had to be getting real snow. Sure enough, I came home from work and Facebook friends in Lac du Flambeau and Eagle River had posted pictures showing what looked like a pretty solid 3+”. It has been snowing a lot farther east by Escanaba and and a lot of the north central UP too, but I don’t have an update from that area yet.

The ground isn’t frozen yet, and the puddles aren’t frozen yet either, but tonight’s low in the mid-20s (maybe colder) might bring the first skin ice to the big puddle in the driveway.

It isn’t uncommon to see a little snow in October, I am kind of surprised that it is this late.

Well, we have a month or a little more before it really counts, but a touch of snow to get us in the spirit is a nice touch.

Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!


Update- Up to 8″ in the UP!


Oct 18

Saturday October 18th, 2014

Greetings and welcome!

The second snow of the year happened last night. The radar looked like it was centered on northern Forest Co and hitting a little of eastern Vilas and Oneida Cos. It probably didn’t amount to much, but it was snow.

The weather has been interesting this week. We had a very strong storm came through the region with heavy rain, then it went east, and backed up and kept the rain coming off of Lake Michigan and Superior. Yesterday it set up where an area of the UP including Escanaba and Munising just got pounded with wave after wave of heavy rain.

I tend to look at the weather through the lens of what if this were late December or mid-January? Yowza, this week would have been huge. My rain gauges have over 3″ in them for the week. The first inch or two probably would have rain or a mix, but the other inch and a half plus would end up as a foot and a half of snow, or more. The storm path would have been pretty favorable, and the extra rain when the storm backed up would have all been snow.

So it is time for my winter guess and weather outlook.

The professional outlook for this winter is for a 60-65% chance of an El Nino. There is not a real strong signal indicating that it will be a bad one. Most models are showing a prediction of a mild El Nino- a lot like we have been having this summer and fall.


We maintain this pattern of below normal temperatures and above normal precip, it will be a heck of a winter. There is also a very real possibility of a good old fashioned El Nino and a rough winter. I have been watching this all with great interest over the last few months and I don’t have a straight answer. My gut says be ready for a repeat of last winter, hopefully with a little less sub-zero stuff. At that point I will flip the odds and say 60% chance of another great winter, 40% chance of an El Nino that will be less snowmobile friendly. I feel good about it, but there is that nagging possibility.

Work work work. It has been a little really overwhelming this fall, so I haven’t been around for pre-season events and stuff like this weekend’s Snowmobile USA show. I am totally overwhelmed right now, but I will be back around when it really counts.

I don’t have time to talk about it tonight, but you should be aware of a new registration system in WI this year. It is called Cap-Step. A long story short, it is a two step registration/trail pass system that promotes club membership and brings them more money.  It looks like a good thing all around. I will bring you more info shortly.

It is time for me to wrap it up. Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!





Oct 04

Saturday 10/4/14

Greetings and welcome!

The snow is real. A lot of northern Wi saw at least a little mix, and some areas saw it add up on cars. A FB friend from Lac Du Flambeau had about an inch and a half on the car and made the first snowball of the year. I haven’t seen any here yet, but the radar shows that there is a chance in a little while.

Anyway, the first snow of the season was last night and this morning.


Oct 03

Friday 10/3/14

Greetings and welcome!

It has been a long time. I will be back around soon with a lot to talk about, but for right now I have to settle for a quick update with the big news. The first snow of the year is showing up on radar. It looks like from Vilas Co and west it is snowing pretty good. The snow on the radar extends as far east as about Fence or Armstrong Creek.

This is just on radar and I don’t have any ground truth to tell us if it is snow, a mix, or what, but the radar is showing all snow.

According to the NWS we could see a mix or a little snow here overnight.


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